Archive for the ‘Juno’ Category

Whether the Oscar ceremony happens or not (and at this point it looks like it will),  awards will still be given out and bets can still be placed. So put aside your bitter grudges (Jonny Greenwood? The Host? Fuck you!) and check out this list of predictions and hopes. I’m leaving out documentaries and foreign films for now because I haven’t seen enough of them to give any kind of valid opinion.

Best Supporting Actress


  • Cate Blanchett (I’m Not There)
  • Ruby Dee (American Gangster)
  • Saoirse Ronan (Atonement)
  • Amy Ryan (Gone Baby Gone)
  • Tilda Swinton (Michael Clayton)

This is an interesting category. Oscar has a boner for Cate Blanchett, but I feel I’m Not There was too strange of a film for the AARP card members that make up the Academy. They’d be much more comfortable with someone like Ruby Dee, who has never won an Oscar and held her own against Denzel Washington’s over-the-top character in American Gangster. Of these performances, the one that I remember the most is Amy Ryan in Gone Baby Gone. That movie didn’t get enough credit, and neither will she.

Will Win: Ruby Dee

Should Win: Amy Ryan

Best Supporting Actor


  • Casey Affleck (The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford)
  • Javier Bardem (No Country For Old Men)
  • Philip Seymour Hoffman (Charlie Wilson’s War)
  • Hal Holbrook (Into the Wild)
  • Tom Wilkinson (Michael Clayton)

This category is pretty much locked down. Javier Bardem might even get a foot massage while he’s giving his acceptance speech. While Bardem is terrifying and fun in this role, Casey Affleck created a character in Robert Ford that the audience could pity, love and hate all at once.

Will Win: Javier Bardem

Should Win: Casey Affleck

Best Actress


  • Cate Blanchett (Elizabeth: The Golden Age)
  • Julie Christie (Away From Her)
  • Marion Cotillard (Ma Vie En Rose)
  • Laura Linney (The Savages)
  • Ellen Page (Juno)

This is between Julie Christie and Marion Cotillard. I haven’t seen Ma Vie En Rose yet, so I’m going to go with Julie Christie.

Will Win: Julie Christie

Should Win: Julie Christie

Best Actor


  • George Clooney (Michael Clayton)
  • Daniel Day Lewis (There Will Be Blood)
  • Johnny Depp (Sweeney Todd)
  • Tommy Lee Jones (In The Valley of Elah)
  • Viggo Mortensen (Eastern Promises)

Daniel Day Lewis will drink the milkshakes of his fellow nominees. He will drink them up.

Will Win: Daniel Day Lewis

Should Win: Daniel Day Lewis

Best Animated Film


  • Persepolis
  • Ratatouille
  • Surf’s Up

Why Surf’s Up is even in this category, I do not know. Persepolis was a fantastic film, but Ratatouille is the best movie you’ve ever seen. Ever.

Will Win: Ratatouille

Should Win: Ratatouille

Best Original Song


  • “Falling Slowly” (Once)
  • “Happy Working Song” (Enchanted)
  • “Raise It Up” (August Rush)
  • “So Close” (Enchanted)
  • “That’s How You Know” (Enchanted)

I find it ridiculous that Once was only nominated in this category. All the same, I think it’ll win. The songs from Enchanted will cancel each other out, and who the fuck saw August Rush?

Will Win: “Falling Slowly”

Should Win: “Falling Slowly”

Best Adapted Screenplay


  • Atonement (Christopher Hampton)
  • Away From Her (Sarah Polley)
  • The Diving Bell and the Butterfly (Ronald Harwood)
  • No Country For Old Men (Joel & Ethan Coen)
  • There Will Be Blood (Paul Thomas Anderson)

While I would love to see Paul Thomas Anderson win a screenplay award, it doesn’t seem like There Will Be Blood is a particularly faithful adaptation of Upton Sinclair’s Oil. Apparently he used it as a stepping stone to create his own characters and themes. The two bigger novels in this competition are No Country For Old Men and Atonement. I’m voting for the latter.

Will Win: No Country for Old Men

Should Win: Atonement

Best Original Screenplay


  • Juno (Diablo Cody)
  • Lars and the Real Girl (Nancy Oliver)
  • Michael Clayton (Tony Gilroy)
  • Ratatouille (Brad Bird)
  • The Savages (Tamara Jenkins)

No screenwriter has gotten more press this year than Diablo Cody. But will the Academy get what phrases like “Oh my blog!” mean? And do I? All the same, there is some wonderful writing in Juno, and I think if it is going to win any award, it’ll be this one.

Will Win: Juno

Should Win: Juno

Best Director


  • Paul Thomas Anderson (There Will Be Blood)
  • Joel & Ethan Coen (No Country For Old Men)
  • Tony Gilroy (Michael Clayton)
  • Jason Reitman (Juno)
  • Julian Schnabel (The Diving Bell and the Butterfly)

A friend has pointed out that Joel and Ethan Coen, directors of The Big Lebowski, are going head to head in this category against Julian Schnabel, who was the inspiration for Jeff Bridges’ character The Dude. It’s The Dude vs. The Coen Brothers! Fucking crazy! The Coen Brothers will win though. The fact that Schnabel wasn’t nominated for best picture pretty much throws him out of the race.

Will Win: Joel & Ethan Coen

Should Win: Paul Thomas Anderson

Best Picture


  • Atonement
  • Juno
  • Michael Clayton
  • No Country For Old Men
  • There Will Be Blood

Michael Clayton doesn’t seem epic enough, and Atonement didn’t get a Best Director nomination. Juno was cute, but will most likely only get recognition for the screenplay. It comes down to No Country for Old Men and There Will Be Blood.

Will Win: No Country For Old Men

Should Win: There Will Be Blood

And, that’s all for now. Agree? Disagree? Chime in!

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